———— Release time:2020-11-04 Edit: Read:27 ————
A month ago, I stated clearly and firmly in my article: For the sake of the nation: After the whole people fight the epidemic, prepare for the whole people to fight the war!
As a result, many people said behind my back that I was alarmist and self-righteous.
It seems that I am correct now.
Faced with exactly the same information, some people will draw correct conclusions, some will draw wrong conclusions, and some will not get any judgment at all.
Analyzing current political issues is not my ultimate goal. My goal is to continuously demonstrate the great potential of systematic thinking. If you do not improve your underlying thinking system, you will become a mob in the face of complex environmental information.
Recently, the spokespersons of CCTV and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs have repeatedly cursed at US Secretary of State Pompeo pointing at his nose. This is almost an unprecedented event in China's diplomatic field in recent years, and many people are confused again.
As a result, the following two interpretations and arguments emerged:
There is a view that Pompeo has always been extremely anti-China, and it has been particularly excessive recently. The Chinese government has been outraged and the central media is responding with the same retaliatory response. This is justified, and it is really gratifying and determined.
Another view is that China’s personal attack on a foreign politician is a very dishonest and majestic behavior, which will lead to greater backlash, which is really shameful and stupid.
But the above two logics are basically wrong, neither can correctly understand China's behavior, nor can they correctly understand Pompeo's behavior.
Trump and Pompeo are playing a two-man act.
One is soliciting votes in the name of fighting the epidemic, and the other is responsible for shifting the blame to China, but the ultimate goal is for this year's election.
Pompeo appears to be an outstanding graduate of the West Point Military Academy. He looks like a tough one, but he is actually an old political fritters who is good at fishing in troubled waters.
His public opinion warfare is to confuse global public opinion with unethical remarks and shift the blame to China. This just caters to the needs of politicians in many countries. This style forms an excellent match with Trump.
Therefore, Pompeo is the core engine of the battle. It is the true goal of Trump and Pompeo to make China panic by creating chaos and benefit from it. Politicians in other countries just follow the trend.
When many countries around the world try to get rid of the blame, China has two coping strategies:
The first is to remain silent and let time and evidence speak. Obviously, this strategy is stupid and negative, and violates the basic principles of communication.
The second strategy is to fight back everywhere, but it will only make China more passive. And this is the result that Pompeo hopes for.
When the enemy's optimal strategy is to want you to be confused, then your optimal strategy is to make things clearer and more precise.
Accurately hitting Pompeo looks like a "risky move", but it is actually the best strategy at the moment. This strategy will let the world see that even the US Secretary of State, China dares to counterattack tit-for-tat. Although the United States is powerful, Pompeo can ignore China. But other countries can't do it, they still rely on China's help. This has formed a deterrent to politicians who also want to fish in troubled waters.
The analysis of the problem must be somewhat refined in one 's rough way. Everyone should savor it carefully. CCTV has positioned Pompeo as the "worst secretary of state in American history." This positioning is not based on his anti-China stance, but is criticizing his inability to work and the disadvantage of fighting the epidemic. And this point is also the focus of contradiction in the United States.
Although the US political circles have reached a broad anti-China consensus, the more specific issues, the more conflicts between them will be. Even on the question of how to fight against China, there will be intense conflicts. And this is the inevitable weakness of Pompeo as a politician and the biggest weakness of the Trump regime.
Someone insists on asking out of time: Does anyone watch the CCTV report?
A Weibo by Hu Xijin will cause anger in the Australian media, let alone news from the central media. Diplomats and intelligence personnel all over the world will collect relevant information for evaluation at the first time. This is their duty.
What Trump fears most is the votes. No matter how many people die in the United States, votes are not as important as votes. And China’s unprecedented media attacks imply that the possibility of affecting Trump’s election campaign through a war of public opinion cannot be ruled out. This possibility seems small to many Chinese, but it is a risk for Trump. The unexpected attack on Pompeo is telling Trump that if you don't have a bottom line, we may not have a bottom line. Moreover, Trump still needs China's support right now.
And the point is that Pompeo is not a seamless egg. His reputation on diplomatic occasions has always been poor, but most countries dare not speak up. So once China has drawn the boundaries, other countries will not dare to fish in troubled waters. You can not stand in China, and China does not need you to stand in line. But if you stand in line with Pompeo, the nature will change. Your morals are as bad as Pompeo.
When the other party tries to make you a scapegoat, your best strategy is to pick things out clearly, and declare to the world who he is targeting, what problems he is targeting, and what the consequences are, so that the other party's strategy will immediately fail.
Behind the risk of one move is the repeated deduction of many high IQ experts.
On this point, I would like to say a few more words.
When we see an unreasonable thing, we must not rush to conclusions, thinking that others are wrong, but we must think that there may be reasonable logic that we have not yet discovered. Especially in the complex field of diplomacy, every step of the strategy has condensed the wisdom of many people and is a sample worthy of our observation and learning.
In the competition between China and the United States, there are no martial arts cheats that can win with a single move. Every step is a step-by-step strategy. If you can't find the best strategy, use the sub-optimal and sub-optimal strategies. As long as fewer mistakes are made, China will eventually establish a more favourable situation.
In the competition between China and the United States, there is no single trick to win the martial arts secret. Every step is a step-by-step operation. If you can't find the optimal strategy, you will use the sub-optimal and sub-optimal strategies. As long as you make fewer mistakes, China will definitely establish a more favorable situation in the end.
Because imperialism is a paper tiger.
The same goes for our personal development.
Each of us and our family may encounter great difficulties in the future. It may be someone else's mistake, or it may be your own mistake, or no one made a mistake, just bad luck. Faced with various situations, don't have to panic and blame yourself, but learn to think calmly, repeatedly deduct all kinds of possibilities, and see how you move.
Any difficulty is a paper tiger.